Manhattan Fencing Center Saber Liberty Cup

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 1:15 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 37%
3 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
3 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
5 DENSEN Leo 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
6 YU Dylan 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
7 BLACK Bennett 100% 97% 76% 34% 6%
8 LI Xinren 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
9 PALERMO Evan 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
10 KAPLAN Richard 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
11 VITALE NIKO 100% 88% 47% 12% 1%
12 LEE Marcus 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
13 ADOLPHUS March 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
14 HUANG Kimball 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
15 NG Ryley 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
16 BUCHANAN Kyle 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
19 CENEDELLA Izaac 100% 53% 12% 1% -
20 BARAKH Adam 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
21 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
22 KIM Apollo 100% 57% 16% 2% -
24 LEE Lucas 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
25 LI-CHUA Theodore 100% 90% 52% 15% 2%
26 LI Max 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.