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Event Results

Div I-A Women's Saber

Long Island Challenge ROC & RPCPool Heatmap

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM Mission Fencing Center · Rocky Point, NY, USA
31 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year
Victory Chances At Least Wins

Win Distribution

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the probability of finishing with that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOSS Persephone - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
2 GHOSH Priyanka - - 1% 6% 34% 59%
3 CROOKS Riley - 2% 13% 36% 40% 9%
3 BARROSO Isabela - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
5 KIM Audrey 3% 18% 38% 32% 9% 1%
6 YERENKOVA Ameliia 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% -
6 NG Sophia - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
8 GOODWIN Julia 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
9 IANNUZZI Lucy - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
10 XU Elaine - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
11 HO Sophia 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
12 MYAT Chloe - 2% 9% 28% 39% 22%
13 LAFFY Lily 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
14 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
15 BARNES Sarah 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
16 WONG Charlene 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
17 LOO Kaitlyn - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
18 ZHENG Winona 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
19 SHI Chuqing 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
20 YANNOPOULOS Pompie - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
21 CHEN Victoria 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2%
22 SMITH Genevieve 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
23 ZHANG Emily 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
24 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
25 DESAUTELS Alexandra 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
26 NIU Jessica - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
27 HARRISON Allie 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
28 LEIGH Adalene 2% 25% 41% 25% 7% 1%
29 TASSONE Charlie 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
30 JAJRA Avni 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% - -
31 LAYNE-STASIK Magdalena 80% 19% 2% - - -