Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
2 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
3 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
5 KIM Audrey 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
6 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
6 NG Sophia 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 12%
8 GOODWIN Julia 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
9 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
10 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
11 HO Sophia 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
12 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 22%
13 LAFFY Lily 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
14 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
15 BARNES Sarah 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -
16 WONG Charlene 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
17 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
18 ZHENG Winona 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
19 SHI Chuqing 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
20 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
21 CHEN Victoria 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2%
22 SMITH Genevieve 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
23 ZHANG Emily 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
24 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
25 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
26 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
27 HARRISON Allie 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
28 LEIGH Adalene 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1%
29 TASSONE Charlie 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
30 JAJRA Avni 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
31 LAYNE-STASIK Magdalena 100% 21% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.