Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FENG Audrey - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
2 LI Joy - 2% 17% 41% 34% 6%
3 PEVZNER Nicole - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
3 LI Christina 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
5 XIE Su - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
6 ORRINGER Lottie - 4% 23% 43% 26% 4%
7 REN Kayley - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
8 CZARNECKA Hanna 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
9 KRAHE Annika 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
10 RENTON Samantha - - - 6% 33% 61%
11 LI Savannah 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
13 CHRISTENSEN Nora 12% 47% 33% 8% 1% -
14 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 62% 33% 5% - - -
15 FELLMAN Sara 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
16 BO Iris 33% 43% 19% 4% - -
17 LIU Yinuo 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
18 HUSSIAN Annabelle 1% 15% 41% 33% 9% 1%
19 HUNT Abigail S. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.