Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 LI Joy 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 6%
3 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 LI Christina 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
5 XIE Su 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
6 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 4%
7 REN Kayley 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
8 CZARNECKA Hanna 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
9 KRAHE Annika 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
10 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
11 LI Savannah 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
13 CHRISTENSEN Nora 100% 88% 41% 9% 1% -
14 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 38% 5% - - -
15 FELLMAN Sara 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% -
16 BO Iris 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
17 LIU Yinuo 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
18 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 99% 84% 43% 10% 1%
19 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 90% 60% 23% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.