Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHENG Brandon - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
2 GORDON Samuel - 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1%
3 WEI William - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
3 KHOTLINE Daniel - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
5 BARENBOYM Michael - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
5 YU xiaodao - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 7%
7 ONUGHA II Emeka - 3% 20% 41% 30% 6%
8 MEDVINSKY Daniel - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
9 CAI Jeff - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
10 DAI Zihou - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
11 LIM Brandon - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
12 WASCO Andrew - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
13 WOLMART Zander - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
14 NAYAGAM Nishant 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
15 VACHHER Ajax - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
16 ZHANG Simon 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
17 COOKSON Leonardo - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
18 SAYAR Luke - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
19 LAZARTE Gabriel - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
20 LOSQUADRO Joseph 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
21 TOZZI Massimo - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
22 BECKERMAN Sander - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
23 LIANG Morgan - 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
24 MACK Justin 1% 15% 40% 32% 10% 1%
25 CRAWFORD William 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
26 JAIDEVA Aakash - 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
27 CHIANG Ethan 8% 36% 38% 16% 3% -
28 HOUSER Johnathan 6% 40% 39% 14% 2% -
29 ZAY Elijah 4% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
30 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 1% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
31 HAUSLER Jayden 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
32 SONG Ryan 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
33 LA Jaden - 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
34 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 2% 31% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
35 WERNER Jonah 73% 24% 3% - - -
36 IZZO Michael 61% 33% 6% - - -
37 COOPER Samuel 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
38 MARTINEZ Luke 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
39 YUN Matthew 88% 11% - - - - -
40 LOU Ethan 68% 27% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.