Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHENG Brandon 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
2 GORDON Samuel 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
3 WEI William 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
3 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
5 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
5 YU xiaodao 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
7 ONUGHA II Emeka 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
8 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
9 CAI Jeff 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
10 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
11 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
12 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
13 WOLMART Zander 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
14 NAYAGAM Nishant 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
15 VACHHER Ajax 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
16 ZHANG Simon 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
17 COOKSON Leonardo 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
18 SAYAR Luke 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
19 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
20 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
21 TOZZI Massimo 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
22 BECKERMAN Sander 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 15%
23 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
24 MACK Justin 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1%
25 CRAWFORD William 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
26 JAIDEVA Aakash 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
27 CHIANG Ethan 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% -
28 HOUSER Johnathan 100% 94% 54% 16% 2% -
29 ZAY Elijah 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
30 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 99% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
31 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
32 SONG Ryan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
33 LA Jaden 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
34 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 100% 98% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
35 WERNER Jonah 100% 27% 3% - - -
36 IZZO Michael 100% 39% 6% - - -
37 COOPER Samuel 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
38 MARTINEZ Luke 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
39 YUN Matthew 100% 12% - - - - -
40 LOU Ethan 100% 32% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.