9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YE Aaron - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
2 CHEN Donovan - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
3 WU August - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
3 YANG Collin 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
5 CHANG Allen 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
6 LEE Albert - 1% 10% 32% 43% 14%
7 JIAO Lawrence - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
8 QIAO Jason 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
9 YAN Kaysen 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
10 YANG Austin 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
11 LAM Dylan 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2%
12 HAO Jefferson 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
13 CHANG Jarrett 2% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
14 WANG Alex 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
15 TAM Ethan 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
16 HWANG Noah 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
17 KIM Dylan 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
18 MCDONALD John 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
19 WAN Andrew 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
20 LEUNG Ian 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
21 QIU Carson 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
22 WANG YUHAO 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
23 DAVIDSON Ethan 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
24 LEE Damian 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.