9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
2 CHEN Donovan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
3 WU August 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 YANG Collin 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
5 CHANG Allen 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
6 LEE Albert 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
7 JIAO Lawrence 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
8 QIAO Jason 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
9 YAN Kaysen 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
10 YANG Austin 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
11 LAM Dylan 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
12 HAO Jefferson 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
13 CHANG Jarrett 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% 1%
14 WANG Alex 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
15 TAM Ethan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
16 HWANG Noah 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
17 KIM Dylan 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
18 MCDONALD John 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
19 WAN Andrew 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
20 LEUNG Ian 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
21 QIU Carson 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
22 WANG YUHAO 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
23 DAVIDSON Ethan 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
24 LEE Damian 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.