Maximum FOIL Challenge

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHONOV Aleksandr - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
2 TAGNE Zoey - 2% 12% 39% 46% 1%
3 MARENITCH Kara - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
3 DELL Royce 5% 35% 41% 17% 2%
5 PARK Jackson - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17% 1%
6 SUN Zoey 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
7 MALPICA Tao 4% 23% 41% 27% 5%
8 MUDIVARTHI Avika - - 2% 15% 48% 35%
9 HE Andrew 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
10 CHEN Kayla 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
11 SCHOR Katherine 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
12 TAN Austin - 7% 30% 43% 20%
13 KNOX Aysa - 5% 26% 47% 22%
14 LEE Noah 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
15 SIN Chad 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 5% -
16 XIE Caden 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
17 CHEN Bennett 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
18 YANG Ariel 52% 39% 9% 1% -
19 FUNG Andrew 38% 45% 15% 2% - -
20 PARKER Emerson 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
21 HAN Hsiu-Chi 4% 33% 47% 14% 1% -
22 FANNION Alexander - < 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
23 DONG Alan < 1% 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
24 CHEN Lukie < 1% 2% 16% 43% 33% 5%
25 CHIKAZAWA Kento < 1% 1% 6% 27% 41% 22% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.