Maximum FOIL Challenge

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
2 TAGNE Zoey 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 1%
3 MARENITCH Kara 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
3 DELL Royce 100% 95% 60% 19% 2%
5 PARK Jackson 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17% 1%
6 SUN Zoey 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
7 MALPICA Tao 100% 96% 73% 32% 5%
8 MUDIVARTHI Avika 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 35%
9 HE Andrew 100% 88% 56% 24% 6% 1% -
10 CHEN Kayla 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
11 SCHOR Katherine 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
12 TAN Austin 100% 100% 93% 63% 20%
13 KNOX Aysa 100% 100% 94% 69% 22%
14 LEE Noah 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
15 SIN Chad 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
16 XIE Caden 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
17 CHEN Bennett 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
18 YANG Ariel 100% 48% 9% 1% -
19 FUNG Andrew 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
20 PARKER Emerson 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
21 HAN Hsiu-Chi 100% 96% 62% 16% 1% -
22 FANNION Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
23 DONG Alan 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3%
24 CHEN Lukie 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 5%
25 CHIKAZAWA Kento 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.