Event Results
Fairfax Challenge RJCC/RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HARTMARK Anders | D V V V V | V V V V | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 2 | GÉLINAS Jonathan | V D V V V D | V V V V | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 3 | LIMA Kevin M. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | LEE Joshua | V D V D D V | V V V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 5 | LOPEZ Carlos D. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 6 | O'BRIEN Jack K. | V V V V D | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 7 | DIVENTI Paul W. | V V D D V | V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 8 | GU Jeffrey | D V V V D | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 9 | WANG Christopher M. | V V V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 10 | VITI Mark G. | V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 11 | RITCHIE Luke W. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 12 | LIU Eric P. | V V V D V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 13 | SMITH V Edward (Quin) A. | V D V V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 14 | SHI Shenzhi | V D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 15 | KEE Andrew L. | V V V V D D | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 16 | RINEHART Conner M. | V D D V D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 17 | SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. | V D D D V V | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 18 | TIAN Aaron C. | V V D D V D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 19 | FOTENOS Noah T. | D D D V V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 20 | BEALE Asa G. | D V D D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 20 | KIZHNER Fillip | V V D D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 22 | MILLER Andrew | D V V D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 23 | WHITEHEAD Amir | D D D V V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 24 | ALONSOZANA Luke | D D V D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 25 | SNIVELY Mark C. | D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 26 | ROSSEN Michael | V D D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 27 | HILGENBERG Kyle | D D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 28 | O'CONNOR Kristian | D D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 29 | MAHNKEN Thomas P. | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 30 | ROZENTAL Robert | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 31 | JUSTEN Samuel K. | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 31 | MURCH Leo | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |