March NAC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 8:30 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Royce - - - 6% 31% 63%
2 KANG Matthew - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
3 HU Jayden - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
3 GU Andrew - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
5 VO Blake - - - 4% 18% 43% 35%
6 WANG Alex - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
7 TANI Tino - - - 6% 33% 60%
8 LUCAS William - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
9 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 2% 23% 75%
10 URSU Marcel T. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
11 LIU Victor - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
12 XIAO Brayden - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
13 DAI Zihou - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
14 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
15 HAO Johnny 1% 6% 24% 39% 27% 4%
16 KARAVAS Nicholas - - - 6% 31% 63%
17 HU Harry - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
18 LEE Nathan Uju - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
19 AN Chris - 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
20 MERMEGAS Alexander - 3% 20% 46% 31%
21 SONG Aidan - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
22 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
23 LI Cooper - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
24 LUC Cedric - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
25 WANG Matthew - - 2% 11% 32% 42% 13%
26 ROPER F. Elijah - 1% 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
27 CHANG Ethan - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
28 PERRIN Leo - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
29 LUC Linkin - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
30 KIM Enoch - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 2%
31 KONDOGI Saivarun 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
32 NGO Emerson - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
33 KANG Jeremy - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
34 DOOLEY Atticus - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
35 LAU Kyrus - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
35 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
37 TANG Morgan - - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
38 BAI Evan - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
39 GRIGORIEV Roman - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
40 BROOKS Theo - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
41 HAN Kyle 16% 42% 32% 9% 1%
42 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
43 WU Vincent - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
44 LO Elroy - 3% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
45 CHEN Shawn - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
46 LI Ryan - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 3%
47 BOSITA Brennan - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
48 WONG Reagan - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
49 CHAVAN Aditya 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
50 YI Andrew - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
51 KOREN George - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
52 XIE Justin 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
53 PARK Inwoo - - 4% 23% 46% 26%
54 MIAO Heqi - 4% 24% 47% 25%
55 SRIVATS Vedh - - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
56 QI Jeremy - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
57 YU Jayden - - - 5% 25% 47% 23%
58 BIVIJI Adam - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
59 GATTO Enzo P. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
60 LEE Winston 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
61 WEI Lucas - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6%
62 ROH Jaden - 6% 26% 43% 24%
63 LIANG Morgan - 1% 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
64 LE CORVEC Thomas - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
65 SLAVNOV Anton - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
66 SO Morgan - 6% 26% 42% 23% 3%
67 ZHANG Shaoxuan - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
68 CHEN Jack - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
69 LEVY Daniel - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
70 HENDERSON Louis - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
71 MATTOO Dhruv - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
72 KHANNA Adamantis - - - 3% 25% 71%
73 HWANG Hagan - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
74 WANG ARAN 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
75 TASIKAS Pete - 4% 18% 40% 34% 5%
76 HENRY Cadel - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
77 WONG Ron - - 5% 19% 38% 31% 7%
78 YU BOWEN - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
79 GUVEN Derin - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
80 TAYCHER Aaron - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
80 STOLCKE Julian - 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
82 KAUL Ishaan - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
83 KOREN David - 1% 9% 27% 39% 23% 2%
84 LOPEZ Mateo 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
85 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
86 SRIVATSAV Ishaan - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
87 YUEN Caleb - 3% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
88 LIU Jayden - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
88 CHEN Zhengming 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
90 KUSHKOV Michael - 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
91 BUKZIN Alan - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
91 SHANKAR Rahm 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
93 ROBINSON Ezra - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
94 CAO HAOTIAN - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
95 VISH Manyu 1% 28% 46% 22% 3%
96 CHEN Felix - 3% 17% 38% 33% 10%
97 FOUX Jonathan 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
98 LU Simon 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
99 SOULES-ONO Makoa 2% 13% 36% 37% 13%
99 BRISENO Ethan 2% 12% 33% 37% 14% 1%
101 LI Kent 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
102 GONZALEZ Paul 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
103 MELE Gianni - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
104 KIM Leo 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
105 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
106 CHEN Aaron 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
106 KIM Suin 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
106 YEAZEL Colin 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
109 CHANG Timothy 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
110 KIM Junseong - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
111 SUH Leo - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
111 SUBA Mason - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
111 LEE Kyle - 4% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
114 WONG Hawken - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
114 LYU Tyler 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
116 YANG Jake 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
117 WANG James 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
118 ALUF William - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
119 SOKOLOV Lucas 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
120 WANG Mason 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
121 PI Edwin 1% 30% 46% 20% 3%
122 BROOKS Drake 1% 14% 40% 35% 10% 1%
123 DESAI Arthav 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
124 MOROAICA Seiku - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
125 KAMURA Kosei 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
126 SHI RYAN 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
127 BROOKS Isaac 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
128 QI Zach 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
129 KANIA Alexander - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
130 NGUYEN Ethan 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% < 1% -
131 SU Eric - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
132 LEISTNER Armin 6% 30% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
133 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
134 BABY Henry 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
135 ZHANG Weihang - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 2%
136 FAVO Christopher 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
137 BENNETT Lachlan - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
138 HRISTOV Nickolas - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
139 PARK Layne 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
140 YU Ian 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 4%
141 POLSANI Gaurav 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
142 JOHNSON Leland - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
143 RAMONDINI Levi 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
144 ORIE Sohan 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
145 YU Ronen 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
146 SHAPIRO Leo - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
146 HUANG Anthony 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
148 BEAL Colton - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
148 DUFF Michael - 5% 23% 40% 25% 6% 1%
150 LUO Gavin 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
150 SLOAN Ethan 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
150 KIM Shiloh - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
153 TENG Lucas - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
154 ZALETAEV Jacob - 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
155 FU BRANDEN 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
156 CHEN Brian 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
157 KUNIMOTO Adam 38% 45% 15% 2% - - -
158 WANG Harrison 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
158 BLAIR Campbell 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
160 NAFTALI Ori - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
162 RAMBHIA Smit 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
163 SALMAN Ibrahim 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
164 TAKEBE Ren - 5% 23% 40% 25% 6% -
165 SRIVATSAV Anay - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
165 SMITH Etienne 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
168 GU Dean 12% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
169 CHEN Mark 31% 44% 21% 4% -
170 DENG Richard 5% 40% 39% 14% 2% -
171 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
172 LEIGH Brayden 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
173 CORDERO Adam 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
173 YAO John 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
175 BRADY Jack 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
176 CHEN Luca - 9% 33% 40% 16% 2%
177 LI Sky 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
178 LEE Shane Gunn 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
179 PARK Sean 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
180 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
180 PIPKE Garrett 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
182 LLOYD Max 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
183 MOTOV Max 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
184 DMYTRUK Alexander 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
185 VIDREVICH David - 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
185 ALUF Brendon 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
187 ERPELDING Ryan 2% 18% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
187 MCDANIEL Dreyden 4% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
189 LVOVSKIY Roman 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
190 BRADIC Andreja 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
191 DONNELL Cillian 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
191 VINCENT Yijia 13% 44% 33% 10% 1% -
191 KRISHNAN Arjun 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
191 SHARMA Smyan 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
195 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
196 LIAO Sirui 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
197 ABADA lucca 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
198 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
199 KONG Ethan 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
200 LI Derek 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
201 RIMMELE Sven Yan 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
202 KO-GALLOWAY Keaton 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
203 ARCHIBALD Zachary - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
203 RISMAN Edward 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
205 ZHOU Ruibo 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
206 YANG LOUIS 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
207 BUCKLEY Owen 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
208 WANG David 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
208 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
208 MAKLIN David 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
211 ZHANG Caleb - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
212 BURENKOV Matthew 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
213 CHEN Harrison 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
214 CHEN Ryan 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
215 SONG Ryan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
217 LEE Alexander 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
218 BALBALE Zayd 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
219 HSIEH Maxwell 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
220 SUN Leonard 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
221 STYS Owen 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
222 HOLMES Xavier 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% 1%
223 AWAD Omar 19% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
224 O'KEEFE Brody 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
225 GRIFFIN Sid 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
226 CAO Chuck 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
227 PARIKH Saavn 5% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
228 LIU Paul 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
229 LEI Isaac 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
229 CHOI Clayton 32% 46% 19% 3% - - -
231 SEDAKA Dylan 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
232 TERENTIEV Michael - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
232 GILBERT Ari 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
232 GAW Zachary 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
235 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
236 YANG Aegon 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
238 KANG Nathan 23% 48% 24% 5% - - -
239 BURLA Saiavaneesh 38% 43% 17% 3% - - -
239 SOMANI Aarav 16% 45% 31% 8% 1% - -
241 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
242 LI kevin 32% 43% 21% 5% - - -
242 PETROSYAN Aleksander 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
244 GONG Johnny 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
244 PARK Jayden 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
246 KOHLER Vaughn 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
247 LOVELL Jackson 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
248 LEE Aiden - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% -
249 LAMADRID Zachary 25% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
250 NEPPALLI Dhruv 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
250 KURBANOV Tamir 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
252 SABINO Bennett 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
252 JI Derek 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
254 GAW Christian 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
255 MARTIRE Francis 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
256 UDAYGIRI Adi 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
257 LAI Mars 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
257 RAHMAN Noah 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
259 LEE Jeffrey 26% 45% 22% 5% 1% - -
260 PALERMO Evan 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
261 ATA Kevin 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
262 RHODES Bryce 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
262 KIM Derek 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
264 TITOV Zachary 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
265 CHU-NAFPLIOTIS Weston 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
266 ORLINO Sam 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
267 UCHIYAMA Lucas 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
268 HADFIELD Gavin 89% 10% - - -
269 LAN Jasper 1% 14% 38% 34% 12% 1% -
270 CHEN Dylan 76% 22% 2% - - -
271 ZHAO Alexander 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
271 LIU Dylan 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
274 SCOTT Clark 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
275 KIM ZOLLER Jacob 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
276 DIORIO James 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
277 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
277 OLSON Prescott 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.