2026 NCAA Midwest Regional

Men's Foil

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Cleveland State University - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 EMMER Chase - - - - - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
2 HUTH Mitchell - - - 3% 12% 26% 31% 20% 7% 1% -
3 LI Solin - - - 1% 5% 16% 30% 29% 15% 4% -
4 BAGDANY Albert - - - - 1% 5% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
5 CHEN Ziyuan - - - - - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
6 MION Lorenzo - - - 2% 7% 20% 31% 26% 11% 2% -
7 TSAO Lukas 2% 11% 26% 31% 20% 7% 1% - - - -
9 WILKINS Mateo 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% - - - - -
10 STRUGAR Marcus 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 6% 1% - - - -
11 ORONOWICZ Jakub 3% 14% 29% 30% 17% 6% 1% - - - -
12 MCISAAC Finn 7% 23% 33% 24% 10% 2% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.