Event Results
2026 NCAA Midwest RegionalSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | EMMER Chase | V V V V V V V V V V | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 | |
| 2 | HUTH Mitchell | V D V V V V V D V V | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 | |
| 3 | LI Solin | D V V V V V V D V V | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 | |
| 4 | BAGDANY Albert | D V D V V V V V D V | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 | |
| 5 | CHEN Ziyuan | D D V D V V V V D D | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 | |
| 6 | MION Lorenzo | V D D V V V V D D V | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 | |
| 7 | TSAO Lukas | V V D D D D D D V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 | |
| 8 | GALICIA Darick Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 9 | WILKINS Mateo | V D D D D D V D D D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 | |
| 10 | STRUGAR Marcus | D D D V V V D D D D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 | |
| 11 | ORONOWICZ Jakub | D V D D D D D D V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 | |
| 12 | MCISAAC Finn | D D D D D D D D D V | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 | |
| 13 | DE PAULA Vinicius Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |