St. Paddy's Slay at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
2 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
3 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
3 LONG Erika 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
5 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
6 MILLER Zach 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
7 IGNATIK Piotr 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
8 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
9 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
10 MCNARY Ross 100% 100% 100% 97% 71% 29% 5%
11 FUCHS Robert 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
12 GOODMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
13 MARTIN Dirk 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
14 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
15 METZ Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
16 NOLL Jack 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
17 BATES Madison 100% 98% 77% 33% 6% - -
18 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
19 PICKREL Maxwell 100% 92% 56% 19% 4% - -
20 MAI Carl D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 26% 4%
21 LEOPOLD Grant 100% 98% 80% 25% 3% - -
22 GILL Anhad 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
23 ANDERSON Noah 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
24 SCHNEIDER Bradley 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
25 SCHNEIDER Stephanie 100% 53% 8% - - - -
26 DUTTON Kitty 100% 67% 13% 1% - - -
27 ABUSUNDUS Ahmed 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
28 ADAMS Christopher 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.