Cherry Blossom 2026 - D1A/VET

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM

University of Maryland Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Caroline - - - 4% 21% 49% 26%
2 BROWN Amanda - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
3 ILYAS Ayah - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
3 XIAO Katelyn - 3% 16% 35% 34% 10% 1%
5 CHEN Ava 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
6 ASHFORD Marguerite 7% 30% 42% 18% 3% - -
7 YAO Chloe - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
8 POLANICHKA Nicole - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
9 PROKOP Jeannine A. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
10 ASHER Valerie - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
11 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
12 ZHU Serene M. - - - 1% 13% 45% 41%
13 BECKMAN Amaya - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
14 KROPP Anne (Charlie) - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
15 AZAD Ava 1% 14% 33% 32% 16% 3% -
16 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
17 JU Jennifer - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
18 RICHARDS Axelle - 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 2%
19 NOVOJILOV Anastasia - - 5% 26% 43% 22% 3%
20 LEVKOV Maita 1% 10% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
21 GANSER Nicole - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
22 BURT Emmalyne Grace 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 2% -
23 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 2% 30% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
24 DUBROVINA Irene - - 6% 27% 42% 22% 3%
25 GANSER Yuliya - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
26 NOLAN Sophia 2% 17% 40% 32% 9%
27 WESER Veronica U. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
28 KWON Claire 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
29 TAM Connie - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
30 MORET Brighid E. - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
31 KELSEY Fabienne 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% - -
32 WEI Sherry - 1% 14% 39% 34% 11% 1%
33 MADRID Maureen - - 5% 25% 41% 25% 3%
34 WALKER Tallin S. - - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
35 AXELROD Charlotte 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
37 NAPOLI Eleanor 37% 43% 17% 3% -
38 WHITTINGTON Kelly 17% 44% 31% 8% 1%
39 SHIN Jamie 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
40 BENAVIDES Samantha 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
41 MURPHY Megan - 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
42 WIESSLER-HUGHES Linda - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 8%
43 THOMPSON Grace 29% 53% 16% 2% - - -
44 HOWARD Brielle 23% 46% 26% 5% - - -
45 BERGAN Bailey 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
46 REARDON Isabella 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
47 MORET Teagan 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
48 PATHAKAMURI Savya - 3% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1%
49 JULIEN Erica 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
50 FONS Amandine 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
51 D'ANGELO Olivia 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% - -
52 RENZ Sarah 49% 43% 8% - - - -
53 SUNMAN Rory 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
54 KALI Aiana 32% 46% 19% 2% - - -
55 IYENGAR Sthuthi 84% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.