Cherry Blossom 2026 - D1A/VET

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM

University of Maryland Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Caroline 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 26%
2 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
3 ILYAS Ayah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 XIAO Katelyn 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11% 1%
5 CHEN Ava 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
6 ASHFORD Marguerite 100% 93% 64% 22% 4% - -
7 YAO Chloe 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
8 POLANICHKA Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
9 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 18%
10 ASHER Valerie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
11 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
12 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 41%
13 BECKMAN Amaya 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
14 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
15 AZAD Ava 100% 99% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
16 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
17 JU Jennifer 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
18 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 21% 2%
19 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 25% 3%
20 LEVKOV Maita 100% 99% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
21 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
22 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
23 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 98% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
24 DUBROVINA Irene 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 3%
25 GANSER Yuliya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
26 NOLAN Sophia 100% 98% 81% 41% 9%
27 WESER Veronica U. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
28 KWON Claire 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
29 TAM Connie 100% 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
30 MORET Brighid E. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
31 KELSEY Fabienne 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
32 WEI Sherry 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1%
33 MADRID Maureen 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3%
34 WALKER Tallin S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
35 AXELROD Charlotte 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
37 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 63% 19% 3% -
38 WHITTINGTON Kelly 100% 83% 40% 9% 1%
39 SHIN Jamie 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1% -
40 BENAVIDES Samantha 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
41 MURPHY Megan 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
42 WIESSLER-HUGHES Linda 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 8%
43 THOMPSON Grace 100% 71% 17% 2% - - -
44 HOWARD Brielle 100% 77% 31% 5% - - -
45 BERGAN Bailey 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
46 REARDON Isabella 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
47 MORET Teagan 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
48 PATHAKAMURI Savya 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
49 JULIEN Erica 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
50 FONS Amandine 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
51 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
52 RENZ Sarah 100% 51% 8% - - - -
53 SUNMAN Rory 100% 89% 57% 21% 3% - -
54 KALI Aiana 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
55 IYENGAR Sthuthi 100% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.