Cherry Blossom 2026 - D1A/VET

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM

University of Maryland Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DEL VECCHIO Nicolas (None PLEASE) S. - - - 1% 22% 76%
2 FILATOV Aleksandr - 2% 16% 40% 36% 6%
3 MATT Chris - - - - 1% 14% 85%
3 YU xiaodao 1% 12% 38% 36% 12% 1%
5 LIN Felix - 5% 26% 43% 23% 3%
6 RINALDI Savio - 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
6 HERNANDEZ Javier - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
8 YOOK Isaac - - 6% 24% 38% 25% 5%
9 BALE ATMAN 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% < 1%
10 COOKSON Leonardo - 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
11 SOKOLOV Arseniy - 3% 20% 43% 30% 5% -
12 DOARES Andrew - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
13 FERRARO Pietro - - - 3% 21% 57% 19%
14 CHANG Ethan 8% 33% 42% 16% 1% -
15 WESLER Logan A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
16 SLAVNOV Anton 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
17 TOZZI Massimo - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 1%
18 VALENCIA Jose 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
19 ARIAS Cesar A - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
20 GUALTERO Samuel - - - - 3% 32% 64%
21 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
22 WANG Max - 2% 15% 41% 35% 6% -
23 RIGGINS Littleton K. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 1%
24 STRUCKER Rocco 13% 42% 35% 9% 1% -
25 PORTER Dupree 1% 7% 30% 46% 15% 1%
26 KLEBS Robert 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
27 CHAWLA Abhishek 28% 49% 20% 3% - -
28 QIN toby 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
28 BROOKS Theo 1% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
30 SZULIM Rad - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% -
31 PERRIN Leo 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
32 MOON Noah 2% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
33 ROBLES Julio C. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
34 WANG Ziyao 6% 33% 42% 17% 2% - -
35 D'AMELJ Edoardo 18% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
35 TAKEBE Ren 6% 33% 42% 17% 2% - -
37 SUORSA Markus - < 1% 6% 31% 53% 10%
38 BREUER Daniel 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
39 KANE Kiran 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
40 AERY FALLICK Ozzie - 2% 10% 31% 42% 16%
41 TASKER Nakul S. 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
42 BROOKS Isaac 21% 52% 23% 4% - - -
43 BUYUCCAN Jonah 39% 46% 14% 2% - -
44 FERRIS Oliver 81% 18% 1% - - - -
45 HEIMOV Brennan 59% 34% 6% - - - -
46 JIN Adam 55% 38% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.