Cherry Blossom 2026 - D1A/VET

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM

University of Maryland Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DEL VECCHIO Nicolas (None PLEASE) S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 76%
2 FILATOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 6%
3 MATT Chris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 YU xiaodao 100% 99% 87% 49% 13% 1%
5 LIN Felix 100% 100% 95% 70% 26% 3%
6 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
6 HERNANDEZ Javier 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
8 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 5%
9 BALE ATMAN 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% < 1%
10 COOKSON Leonardo 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
11 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 5% -
12 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
13 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 19%
14 CHANG Ethan 100% 92% 59% 17% 1% -
15 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
16 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
17 TOZZI Massimo 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
18 VALENCIA Jose 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
19 ARIAS Cesar A 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
20 GUALTERO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 64%
21 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
22 WANG Max 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 7% -
23 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 1%
24 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 87% 45% 10% 1% -
25 PORTER Dupree 100% 99% 92% 62% 16% 1%
26 KLEBS Robert 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
27 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 72% 23% 3% - -
28 QIN toby 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
28 BROOKS Theo 100% 99% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
30 SZULIM Rad 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
31 PERRIN Leo 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
32 MOON Noah 100% 98% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
33 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 4%
34 WANG Ziyao 100% 94% 61% 19% 2% - -
35 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
35 TAKEBE Ren 100% 94% 61% 20% 3% - -
37 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 100% 94% 62% 10%
38 BREUER Daniel 100% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
39 KANE Kiran 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
40 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
41 TASKER Nakul S. 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
42 BROOKS Isaac 100% 79% 27% 4% - - -
43 BUYUCCAN Jonah 100% 61% 16% 2% - -
44 FERRIS Oliver 100% 19% 1% - - - -
45 HEIMOV Brennan 100% 41% 7% - - - -
46 JIN Adam 100% 45% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.