GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAN Charlie - - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 JIAO Daniel - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
3 WILLIAMS Thomas 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
3 MCCOOL Henry - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
5 KLINE Benjamin - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
6 HUANG Lucas - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
7 YU Oliver - - 1% 10% 37% 48% 4%
8 MORALES Tycho - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
9 KANAN Noland - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
10 PALMERKLEIN Justin - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 12%
11 REES Vaughan - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
12 MADDES Gage - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
13 ZHENG Jayden - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
14 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
15 JAGANNATHAN Avi 8% 30% 38% 20% 3%
16 TAN Kaiwen - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
17 MARVEL Elliot 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
18 SUSSMAN Gabriel - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
19 AN Jacob 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
20 LI Jensen 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
21 LIU Charles 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
22 STEPHAN Tyler 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
23 ZHAI Noah 5% 25% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
24 SHUKLA Arjoon - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 3%
25 ZUIDEMA Harrison 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% - -
26 VALERI Ryan 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
27 LIN Abraham 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
28 LEE Sung-Yull 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
29 NG Harry - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
30 CHOPEY Oliver 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
31 CHAISANGUANTHUM Sarit 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
32 LUND Jonah 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
33 NETESA Lukian 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
34 SUMMERLIN Lucien 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
35 GUTH Samuel 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
36 MATIYASH Andrew 15% 38% 34% 12% 2%
37 CORDERO Lucas 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
38 AN Graham 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
39 JUSTICE Tim 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
40 CHOU Ryland 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
41 NEPAL Chu Missing ID
42 SHEN Hunter 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
43 JUSTICE Cary 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
44 DEBOTH Landon 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
45 KOUTYCHENKO Andrey 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
46 FISHER Graham 18% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
47 WALKER Lennox - 1% 8% 31% 41% 18% 2%
48 KRESS Elias 17% 40% 31% 10% 1%
49 LINEBERRY KAI 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
50 ZMUDA Brady 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
51 FISHER Charlie 38% 44% 15% 2% - - -
52 NIEMEIJER Nolan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
53 BUNDY Finn < 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.