GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 JIAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
3 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
3 MCCOOL Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
5 KLINE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
6 HUANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
7 YU Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 5%
8 MORALES Tycho 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
9 KANAN Noland 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
10 PALMERKLEIN Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 47% 11%
11 REES Vaughan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
12 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
13 ZHENG Jayden 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
14 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
15 JAGANNATHAN Avi 100% 91% 61% 23% 3%
16 TAN Kaiwen 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
17 MARVEL Elliot 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
18 SUSSMAN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
19 AN Jacob 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
20 LI Jensen 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 2%
21 LIU Charles 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
22 STEPHAN Tyler 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3% -
23 ZHAI Noah 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
24 SHUKLA Arjoon 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
25 ZUIDEMA Harrison 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% - -
26 VALERI Ryan 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
27 LIN Abraham 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
28 LEE Sung-Yull 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
29 NG Harry 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
30 CHOPEY Oliver 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
31 CHAISANGUANTHUM Sarit 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
32 LUND Jonah 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
33 NETESA Lukian 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
34 SUMMERLIN Lucien 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
35 GUTH Samuel 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
36 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 87% 50% 15% 2%
37 CORDERO Lucas 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
38 AN Graham 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
39 JUSTICE Tim 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
40 CHOU Ryland 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1%
42 SHEN Hunter 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
43 JUSTICE Cary 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
44 DEBOTH Landon 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
45 KOUTYCHENKO Andrey 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
46 FISHER Graham 100% 82% 40% 11% 1% - -
47 WALKER Lennox 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
48 KRESS Elias 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
49 LINEBERRY KAI 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
50 ZMUDA Brady 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
51 FISHER Charlie 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
52 NIEMEIJER Nolan 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
53 BUNDY Finn 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.