GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
2 CHOI JULIE 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
3 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
3 HUANG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
5 TAN Dorathy 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
6 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
7 BOIKE Lucille 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
8 WEN Cynthia 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
9 HARRIS Parker 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
10 AADHI Hansika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
11 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
12 YU Angela 100% 90% 46% 11% 1% -
13 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% -
14 COLLINS Anna 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 3%
15 MORSE Katherine 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% -
16 LIN Kenzie 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
17 SWOPE Farren 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
18 NAFSOU Ava 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
19 SAMALA Reese 100% 99% 84% 43% 10% 1%
20 SONG Jenna 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
21 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15% -
22 SUN Nicole 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
23 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
24 XIONG Isabel 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
25 ADLER Zoe 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
26 WOERTER Therese-Margaret 100% 88% 42% 10% 1% -
27 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
28 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
29 NEPAL Asha 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
30 LIN Aria 100% 35% 4% - - -
31 REDEMANN Reagan 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
32 KANG Marian 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
33 PARANJAPE Ojasvi 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% -
34 LEVY Gabrielle 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
35 CHANDLER Annika 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
36 VINS Katherine 100% 85% 34% 7% 1% - -
37 ARSOVSKI Maya 100% 41% 7% - - -
38 CHANDLER Camille 100% 37% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.