Maple Madness 2026

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Vergennes Union High School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOLDENBOGEN Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 LIN George 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 8%
3 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
3 PEARSALL William 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
5 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
6 MACIK Axel 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
7 MORI Natsuko 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
8 TIBBETTS Lily 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
9 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
10 KIM Joshua 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
11 LAMB Linus 100% 100% 100% 94% 62% 15% 1%
12 MAZZEI Valentino 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
13 ZIMMERMAN Robert 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 2%
14 COLLIER Samara 100% 99% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
15 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
16 KROHN Daphne 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
17 WANAMAKER-ORDORICA Abigail 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
18 HUENINK Jean Louise 100% 99% 86% 49% 11% 1% -
19 LAMB Gus 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
20 CUTLER Karen 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
21 TABOR Joshua 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.