2nd On Point Spring Open

Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 9:00 AM

CSD YMCA CHARLOTTE - Clover, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
2 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 30%
3 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
3 REYES Manuel A 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
5 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 LIMA Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
7 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 43%
8 LAUSI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 40% 4%
9 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 100% 99% 79% 35% 6%
10 MAXWELL CJ 100% 100% 98% 78% 21% 2%
11 VIVEROS Evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 13%
12 WEI Darius 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
13 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 24%
14 PRUT Anton 100% 100% 95% 68% 25% 3%
15 SHEHORN Connor 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 9%
16 RILEY Owen 100% 99% 88% 52% 13% 1% -
17 BRUCE Roman 100% 100% 100% 97% 64% 20% 2%
18 GADOW Patrick 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
19 MONSCH Channing 100% 100% 97% 64% 21% 3%
20 RAMESH prashvin 100% 95% 67% 24% 3% -
21 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 20%
22 HAN Nathan 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
23 MONAGHAN Micah 100% 98% 78% 38% 8% 1%
24 MANN Justin 100% 62% 17% 1% - -
25 MADDOX Lacey 100% 100% 100% 91% 54% 9%
26 MORENO Peter 100% 86% 31% 5% - -
27 HAILU Raena 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% -
28 APANPA simeon 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 2%
29 MAXWELL Austin 100% 100% 90% 40% 5% - -
30 ARAES Francisco 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
31 LEE Isabella 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
32 BAZZLE Christopher E. 100% 96% 70% 25% 3% - -
33 DAVIS Mitchell 100% 100% 94% 62% 20% 2%
34 SATTERLY Avery 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
35 MCMAHEL Randy 100% 73% 19% 2% - - -
36 CARDINAL Elise 100% 77% 10% - - -
37 WIAND Eleanora (Ellie) 100% 90% 50% 7% - -
38 MCBRIDE Cynthia 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
38 SNYDER Andrew 100% 78% 15% 1% - - -
40 MARRELLI Carolina 100% 46% 7% - - -
40 ARNOTT Lucas 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
42 UPCHURCH Caleb 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
43 CHIKHLIKER Mary Ellis 100% 28% 1% - - -
44 JOHNSON Ethan 100% 31% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.