2nd On Point Spring Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM

CSD YMCA CHARLOTTE - Clover, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KAPLAN Abe 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
2 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 100% 100% 92% 48%
3 SHEHORN Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 28%
3 SMOLICH Emily 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
5 MAXWELL CJ 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
6 DAVIS Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
7 APANPA simeon 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
8 TARAJANO Jose 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
9 RAMESH prashvin 100% 100% 100% 95% 60% 15%
10 MONAGHAN Micah 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 1%
11 GADOW Patrick 100% 100% 89% 49% 11% -
12 RILEY Owen 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
13 BAZZLE Christopher E. 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
14 ARAES Francisco 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 12%
15 MAXWELL Austin 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
16 MORENO Peter 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 2%
17 IBRAHIM Yara 100% 99% 86% 38% 7% -
18 LEE Isabella 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
19 MONSCH Channing 100% 100% 99% 85% 31%
20 MONES Robert 100% 100% 95% 70% 21% 2%
21 MORGAN NinA 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
22 MCMAHEL Randy 100% 95% 54% 9% -
23 SNYDER Andrew 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
24 CARDINAL Elise 100% 82% 33% 4% - -
25 TERRY Elijah 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
26 WANG Thea 100% 99% 90% 54% 17% 2%
27 SOJA Caroline 100% 69% 21% 3% - -
28 SATTERLY Avery 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
29 WIAND Eleanora (Ellie) 100% 94% 64% 18% 2% -
30 KUHNLE Hendrik 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
31 DOWNER Briannah 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
32 SLADE Luke pete 100% 79% 32% 3% -
33 FARNUM Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
34 CHIKHLIKER Mary Ellis 100% 33% 4% - - -
35 MCBRIDE Cynthia 100% 59% 13% 1% -
36 FARNUM Lucy 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% -
37 NUNN Declan 100% 63% 13% 1% - -
38 MARRELLI Carolina 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
39 UPCHURCH Caleb 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
40 JOHNSON Ethan 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
41 SHAW Madilyn 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.