TMFC Saber Cup #4 March Match Madness! (Manhattan)

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club - Manhattan, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MANGINI Lorenzo 5% 26% 43% 24% 2%
2 LIOU Paxton 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
3 CONSTANTINE Leonidas - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
3 MOREHOUSE Jack 17% 39% 32% 11% 1%
5 LAM Esher 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
6 TAUR Marcus 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
7 ALI Zidane 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
8 LACK Rye 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
9 HAN Ethan 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
10 GERELL Nicholas 1% 9% 34% 41% 16%
11 BANSAL Aiden < 1% 9% 35% 40% 14% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.