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Event Results

Y-10 Men's Saber

TMFC Saber Cup #4 March Match Madness! (Manhattan)Pool Heatmap

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM Tim Morehouse Fencing Club · Manhattan, NY, USA
11 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 95% 69% 26% 2%
2 LIOU Paxton 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
3 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 MOREHOUSE Jack 100% 83% 44% 13% 1%
5 LAM Esher 100% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
6 TAUR Marcus 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
7 ALI Zidane 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
8 LACK Rye 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
9 HAN Ethan 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
10 GERELL Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
11 BANSAL Aiden 100% 100% 90% 55% 15% 1%