BCAF Mitch Davis Memorial Mixed Senior Foil Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Bucks County Academy of Fencing - Lambertville, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MA Leon 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
2 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 25%
3 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 68% 21%
5 ORCUTT Kevin 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 2%
6 METZ Mason 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12%
7 KOLBINGER Moritz 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 19%
8 PEARCE Joseph 100% 99% 73% 25% 2% -
9 SHICK Veronika 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 1%
10 EPPLY-SCHMIDT Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
11 ROJAS Elijah 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
12 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 98% 72% 28% 4% -
13 COGSWELL Michael A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
14 DESMOND Sterling 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% -
15 TSIMBERG Jadon 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
16 CHO Alexander 100% 100% 82% 36% 3% -
17 ZHANG Ethan 100% 91% 53% 15% 2% -
18 CHENG Karter 100% 88% 43% 6% - -
19 ZHANG Julian 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
20 FRIEDMAN Noah 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
21 SIELSKI Evan 100% 90% 49% 8% 1% -
22 DUFFY Erin 100% 23% 2% - - -
23 RAYMOND Christopher 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
23 FRANKLIN Samuel 100% 56% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.