Cherry Blossom 2026 - D1A/VET

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM

University of Maryland Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RENTON Samantha - - - - 10% 89%
2 OWENS Elise - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 CAO Kayla - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
3 HUSSIAN Annabelle - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
5 SINGH Evangelina 1% 10% 34% 41% 13% -
6 SELSER Ella - 2% 13% 40% 42% 3%
7 PHAN Logan 2% 17% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
8 PONCET Sarah - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
9 LENZ Zoe N. - - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
10 JAIN Dia 2% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
11 LENZ Phoebe 8% 37% 38% 14% 2% - -
12 BERGMANN Beatrix 9% 41% 36% 12% 2% - -
13 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 10% 37% 38% 14% 2% -
14 WATERS Samantha M. - 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
15 BALEEIRO Sophia - 6% 28% 41% 20% 4% -
16 WESTGATE Rebecca 6% 29% 42% 21% 3% -
17 MANDZY Athena - 1% 6% 25% 42% 23% 4%
18 JOSEPH Rachel 41% 42% 14% 2% - -
19 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 60% 34% 6% - - - -
21 HUANG Annabelle 58% 35% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.