Cherry Blossom 2026 - D1A/VET

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM

University of Maryland Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 CAO Kayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
3 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
5 SINGH Evangelina 100% 99% 89% 55% 14% -
6 SELSER Ella 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 3%
7 PHAN Logan 100% 98% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
8 PONCET Sarah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
9 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
10 JAIN Dia 100% 98% 78% 39% 9% 1% -
11 LENZ Phoebe 100% 92% 55% 17% 2% - -
12 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 91% 49% 14% 2% - -
13 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% -
14 WATERS Samantha M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 2%
15 BALEEIRO Sophia 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
16 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 94% 66% 24% 3% -
17 MANDZY Athena 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27% 4%
18 JOSEPH Rachel 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
19 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 100% 40% 6% - - - -
21 HUANG Annabelle 100% 42% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.