GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 ZHANG jonathan - 1% 15% 85%
2 LIU Maximilian 1% 9% 30% 40% 20%
3 PAGLIARINI James 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
3 MBERIA Henry 1% 10% 41% 48%
5 NOCON Garrison 16% 73% 11% -
6 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 6% 30% 47% 17%
7 KRAVCHENKO Philip 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
8 MOY Taiyo 29% 48% 21% 2%
10 BUONO Antonino 69% 28% 3% -
12 AHMAD Aydin 21% 41% 29% 9% 1%
12 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 31% 48% 19% 2%
14 SCHULTE Noah 1% 17% 77% 5%
15 PAGLIARINI John 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.