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Event Results

Y-12 Men's Épée

GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast CupSurprise Map

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM MSA Sports Spot · Grand Rapids, MI, USA
15 finishers
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 ZHANG jonathan V V V V V V V 2.8 3 +0.2
2 LIU Maximilian V V V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
3 PAGLIARINI James V D V V V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
3 MBERIA Henry V V V V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
5 NOCON Garrison V V D V D 1.0 2 +1.0
6 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
7 KRAVCHENKO Philip D V V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
8 MOY Taiyo D V V D 1.0 2 +1.0
9 MONTAVON Liam Missing ID 0.0 0 -
10 BUONO Antonino V D D D 0.3 1 +0.7
11 MA Marton Missing ID 0.0 0 -
12 AHMAD Aydin V D D D D 1.3 1 -0.3
12 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
14 SCHULTE Noah D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
15 PAGLIARINI John D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%