Saratoga Open Youth Saber Tournament UNSANCTIONED

Y-10 Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
2 SEVERT David 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
3 PICACHE Merrick - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
3 GOURJI Roman 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% < 1%
5 MACCARRA Thomas - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
6 SHIH Brandon 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
7 GIMELFARB Ethan 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
8 PAK Louis 4% 21% 38% 29% 8% -
9 LAN Rory 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
10 LAM Nathan 4% 33% 42% 18% 3% -
11 QUAN Hailey 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% -
12 LIU Andrew < 1% 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.