Fortune RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Youlong - - - - 1% 18% 80%
2 YUE Jackson - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
3 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 CHALUT Etienne - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
5 QIU Zhaocheng - - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
6 DINSAY Kristjan - - - - 4% 31% 65%
7 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 2% 13% 37% 36% 11%
8 LU Andy - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
9 HAYES Stewart - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
10 YANG Charles - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
11 YAO Pincheng - 1% 10% 33% 42% 14%
12 ZHOU Ryan - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
13 PE Noah - 1% 11% 35% 38% 13% 1%
14 LEE Jaden - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
15 ONG Nicholas - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
16 ZHANG Andrew 17% 43% 30% 9% 1% -
17 CHOI Ethan - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
18 WONG Evan - - 1% 8% 31% 42% 19%
19 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
20 LEE Abin 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
21 TANG Brayden 7% 38% 38% 14% 2% -
22 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
23 CHANG Jonathan - - - 2% 17% 46% 34%
24 LEHTINEN Axel - 4% 28% 43% 22% 4% -
25 PETROV Mikhail 1% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
26 KETTELLE John - - 1% 13% 44% 38% 4%
27 ZHONG Maxwell - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
28 TSOI Spencer 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 3%
29 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14% 1%
30 OH Kepler 1% 29% 49% 19% 2% - -
31 DUNLAP Ezra 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
32 JACOB Ezra 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
33 FOY Grant - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
34 CHONG Tristan - - 1% 11% 36% 42% 9%
35 MORROW Brenden - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
36 WONG Braxton 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
37 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - 2% 17% 47% 32% 3%
38 CHANG Nathan - 2% 19% 41% 30% 8% 1%
39 CHAN Joseph 1% 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% -
40 ALCAZAREN Cian 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
41 LO Ernest 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
42 FUKUDA Brando 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
43 MURDOCK Koichi 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
44 LI Daniel - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
45 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin - 3% 26% 42% 23% 4% -
46 ZHAN Kevin - 7% 31% 41% 18% 3% -
47 PARK Sky - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
48 DENG David 4% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1%
49 CHANG Jeremy - 3% 23% 47% 24% 4% -
50 WANG sicheng 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 2% -
51 LEE Lucas 37% 44% 17% 3% - -
52 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5%
53 BIELER Mason - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
54 CHEN kenneth 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
55 LI Lucas 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
56 LEE Christopher 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
57 KIM Aiden - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
58 ZHANG Raphael 1% 10% 38% 37% 13% 2% -
59 TRUJILLO Jonah 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
60 GUO Austin 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
61 LI Austin 38% 41% 17% 4% - -
62 DANIEL Nikith 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
63 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 2% 40% 45% 12% 1% - -
64 MASOOD Rohail 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
65 GAO Andrew 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
66 WILLIAMS Matthew 64% 31% 5% - - -
67 NISHIHIRA Tyler 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
68 CHEUNG Henry 43% 44% 11% 1% - - -
69 CHOI Colin - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
70 SHADRAVAN Arash 6% 63% 27% 4% - - -
71 MCCARVILL Cooper 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
72 BARROW Jackson 61% 34% 5% - - - -
73 VARIDIREDDY Suhan 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% -
74 BLUNCK Kristof 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
75 ARCARA Evan 27% 51% 19% 3% - - -
76 KOEHLER Marc 18% 54% 24% 4% - - -
76 WASHBURN Cooper 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
79 SCHAMP Eliot 89% 11% - - - - -
80 FARRAR Peter 92% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.