Fortune RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
2 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 44% 9%
3 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
3 CHALUT Etienne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
6 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
7 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
8 LU Andy 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
9 HAYES Stewart 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
10 YANG Charles 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 7%
11 YAO Pincheng 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
12 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
13 PE Noah 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
14 LEE Jaden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
15 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
16 ZHANG Andrew 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% -
17 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
18 WONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
19 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
20 LEE Abin 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
21 TANG Brayden 100% 93% 55% 16% 2% -
22 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
23 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
24 LEHTINEN Axel 100% 100% 96% 69% 26% 4% -
25 PETROV Mikhail 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
26 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42% 4%
27 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
28 TSOI Spencer 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
29 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1%
30 OH Kepler 100% 99% 71% 22% 2% - -
31 DUNLAP Ezra 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
32 JACOB Ezra 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
33 FOY Grant 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
34 CHONG Tristan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 9%
35 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
36 WONG Braxton 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
37 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34% 3%
38 CHANG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
39 CHAN Joseph 100% 99% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
40 ALCAZAREN Cian 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
41 LO Ernest 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
42 FUKUDA Brando 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
43 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
44 LI Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
45 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -
46 ZHAN Kevin 100% 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% -
47 PARK Sky 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
48 DENG David 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
49 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 97% 74% 27% 4% -
50 WANG sicheng 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
51 LEE Lucas 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
52 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
53 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
54 CHEN kenneth 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
55 LI Lucas 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
56 LEE Christopher 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
57 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 6%
58 ZHANG Raphael 100% 99% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
59 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
60 GUO Austin 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
61 LI Austin 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
62 DANIEL Nikith 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
63 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 100% 98% 58% 13% 1% - -
64 MASOOD Rohail 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
65 GAO Andrew 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
66 WILLIAMS Matthew 100% 36% 5% - - -
67 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 1%
68 CHEUNG Henry 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -
69 CHOI Colin 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
70 SHADRAVAN Arash 100% 94% 31% 4% - - -
71 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
72 BARROW Jackson 100% 39% 5% - - - -
73 VARIDIREDDY Suhan 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
74 BLUNCK Kristof 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
75 ARCARA Evan 100% 73% 22% 3% - - -
76 KOEHLER Marc 100% 82% 28% 4% - - -
76 WASHBURN Cooper 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
79 SCHAMP Eliot 100% 11% - - - - -
80 FARRAR Peter 100% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.