Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUC Christabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
2 ZHOU Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 1%
3 CHAN Clara Minna 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
3 KIM Addison 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
5 CERVERA Zoe 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
6 LIU Kaylee 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
7 JIANG Harper 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% -
8 QIU Isla Qiu 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
9 LEE Ella 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
10 PAN Vivienne 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
11 GOSAVI Amiya 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% -
12 CHEN Chelsea 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
13 CHANG Jillian 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
14 YANG Callie 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
15 KIM Serena 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
16 GEORGE McKenzie 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
17 CAO Kaylin 100% 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% -
18 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
19 XU Chenxi 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
19 ZHAO Youyang 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
21 CHEN Emma 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
22 KIM Abigale 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
23 CORD Serena 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
24 NIP Sienna 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
25 LIN Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
25 REICH Emily 100% 86% 41% 10% 1% - -
27 ZHANG Madeline 100% 80% 36% 7% - -
28 HAN Rachel 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
29 WON Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
30 DJUNAEDI Chloe 100% 42% 6% - - - -
31 LEE Sofia 100% 100% 90% 55% 16% 1%
32 TAO Isabelle 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 3%
33 HONG Loren 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.