Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-8 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 DAI Claire 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
2 CHOW Ariel 100% 88% 44% 10% 1%
3 ISAAC Felicity 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
3 LU Jocelyn 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
5 DING Athena 100% 99% 85% 47% 10%
6 GUAN Angie 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
7 SHEN Lexi 100% 86% 48% 14% 2%
8 HAN Joy 100% 96% 73% 34% 7%
9 TAM Alisa 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
10 CHOI Audrey M 100% 93% 54% 12% -
11 WU Amanda Chingliang 100% 51% 12% 1% -
12 SONG Esther W 100% 80% 40% 10% 1%
13 HSZIEH Madeline 100% 99% 89% 53% 14%
14 TRAN Remy 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
15 CHEUNG Esabella 100% 49% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.