Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-8 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Alex - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
2 FERNANDEZ leo 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
3 HORIKAWA Xander - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
3 DJUNAEDI Brann 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
5 CHANG Jarrett - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6% < 1%
6 LU KAIWEN - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 9%
7 LEE Damian 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
8 OKAWA Dylan - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
9 XU Ethan 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
10 MANCINI Charles 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
11 WANG Jayden 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% - -
12 KOZLOFF Chase 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
13 MERLINI Hudson < 1% 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.