Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-8 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
2 FERNANDEZ leo 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
3 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
3 DJUNAEDI Brann 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
5 CHANG Jarrett 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5% < 1%
6 LU KAIWEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
7 LEE Damian 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
8 OKAWA Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
9 XU Ethan 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
10 MANCINI Charles 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
11 WANG Jayden 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
12 KOZLOFF Chase 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
13 MERLINI Hudson 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
14 KWON Joshua Missing ID

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.