Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, March 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIVIJI Ali 4% 27% 44% 22% 2%
2 LAMTAN Christoffer 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
3 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - - - 8% 91%
3 PORTER Dupree - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
5 TRAORE Aidan - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
6 TSAO Oliver 1% 6% 25% 41% 25% 3%
7 BARTOLO Domenic V. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
8 MANESCU Miron 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
9 ZEWDA Kebron - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15%
10 ZWAKA Jonas - 5% 20% 35% 30% 10% -
11 WONG Mac 4% 31% 40% 20% 4% -
12 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
13 ZELAYA Jayson - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% -
14 QUAN Nicholas - < 1% 5% 30% 65%
15 MCCARTHY Devan - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
16 JANG Junyeong 43% 40% 15% 3% - -
17 TOZZI Massimo - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
18 MCDONALD Finn 6% 34% 42% 17% 1%
19 JI Johnson - 4% 21% 38% 29% 7%
20 ZAY Elijah 2% 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
21 SADHU Neiyam - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
22 SALDARINI Glenn 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
23 STAMIS Kyle 2% 18% 42% 33% 5%
24 WOLMART Zander 18% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
25 DESAUTELS Connor 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
26 SAYAR Luke 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
27 CIEMINS Henry - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
28 LAZARTE Gabriel 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
29 CAI xingzhi 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4%
30 TSAO Alister 55% 36% 8% 1% -
31 FIROOZI Sam 1% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
32 PAVLENISHVILI Luke - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
33 CRAWFORD William - 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
34 JIANG Terence 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
35 MACK Justin 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
37 CONRADO David 68% 27% 4% - - -
38 THACH Tri 76% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.