Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, March 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIVIJI Ali 100% 96% 69% 24% 2%
2 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
3 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
3 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
5 TRAORE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
6 TSAO Oliver 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 3%
7 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
8 MANESCU Miron 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
9 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
10 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% -
11 WONG Mac 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% -
12 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
13 ZELAYA Jayson 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% -
14 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
15 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
16 JANG Junyeong 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
17 TOZZI Massimo 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
18 MCDONALD Finn 100% 94% 60% 18% 1%
19 JI Johnson 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
20 ZAY Elijah 100% 98% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
21 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
22 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
23 STAMIS Kyle 100% 98% 81% 38% 5%
24 WOLMART Zander 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
25 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
26 SAYAR Luke 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
27 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
28 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
29 CAI xingzhi 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4%
30 TSAO Alister 100% 45% 9% 1% -
31 FIROOZI Sam 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
32 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
33 CRAWFORD William 100% 100% 90% 60% 22% 4% -
34 JIANG Terence 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
35 MACK Justin 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
37 CONRADO David 100% 32% 4% - - -
38 THACH Tri 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.