Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URSU Marcel T. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
2 ZWAKA Jonas - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
3 MIAO Heqi - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
3 CAI xingzhi - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
5 ZHANG Simon 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
6 ONUGHA II Emeka - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 10%
7 CRAWFORD William - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
8 ROPER F. Elijah - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
9 SALDARINI Glenn - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
10 LIANG Morgan - - 4% 16% 35% 35% 10%
11 CHEN Felix - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
12 KUSHKOV Michael - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
13 MCDONALD Finn - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
14 TASIKAS Peter - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
15 WU Vincent - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
16 LIN Alex - 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
17 LIU Eric - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
18 HOUPT Lucas - 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
19 SONG Ryan 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
21 WAXLER Alex - - 5% 22% 43% 26% 4%
22 LOSQUADRO Joseph - - 2% 12% 37% 40% 9%
23 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 1% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
24 LEVY Jack - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 5%
25 VIDREVICH David - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
26 BROOKS Drake 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
26 THOMAS Tre - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
28 AVERY Marcus - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
29 KULKARNI Ishir 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
30 ROMBERG Sam 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
31 SAYAR Luke 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
32 CHIANG Ethan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
33 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
34 LEE Ryan - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
35 LORENZ Evan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
36 JIN Yubo 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
37 BANSAL Ariv 4% 25% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
38 CORDERO Adam 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
39 GAIDA Ashton 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
40 LLOYD Maxwell 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
41 CHANG Timothy - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
42 LI Kent 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
43 PILLAI Akshay 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
44 NARAYAN Rishi 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
45 MESSINGER Joshua 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
46 GRIFFIN Sid 48% 39% 12% 2% - -
47 HONG Isaac 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -
48 YOUNG Navin 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
49 LEE Ivan 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
50 CHAN Ewan 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
51 GUERRA Corey 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1%
52 JARRETT Benjamin 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% - -
53 NEUBERGER Jakob Felix 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
54 AWAD Omar 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
55 LEIGH Brayden 5% 24% 40% 24% 7% 1% -
56 RUBENSON Leo 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -
57 GAO Francis 2% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1% -
58 VINCENT Yijia 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
59 FREILICH Harrison 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
60 RABEL Alexander 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
61 RABEL Sebastian 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
61 LEE SungYup 63% 31% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.