Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
3 CAI xingzhi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 43%
5 ZHANG Simon 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
6 ONUGHA II Emeka 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 10%
7 CRAWFORD William 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
8 ROPER F. Elijah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
9 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
10 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
11 CHEN Felix 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
12 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
13 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
14 TASIKAS Peter 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3%
15 WU Vincent 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
16 LIN Alex 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
17 LIU Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
18 HOUPT Lucas 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
19 SONG Ryan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
21 WAXLER Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4%
22 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 9%
23 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
24 LEVY Jack 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
25 VIDREVICH David 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
26 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
26 THOMAS Tre 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
28 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 93% 70% 32% 6%
29 KULKARNI Ishir 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
30 ROMBERG Sam 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4%
31 SAYAR Luke 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
32 CHIANG Ethan 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 6% -
33 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
34 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
35 LORENZ Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
36 JIN Yubo 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
37 BANSAL Ariv 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
38 CORDERO Adam 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
39 GAIDA Ashton 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
40 LLOYD Maxwell 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1%
41 CHANG Timothy 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
42 LI Kent 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
43 PILLAI Akshay 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
44 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 8% 1%
45 MESSINGER Joshua 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
46 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 52% 14% 2% - -
47 HONG Isaac 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
48 YOUNG Navin 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
49 LEE Ivan 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
50 CHAN Ewan 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
51 GUERRA Corey 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1%
52 JARRETT Benjamin 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% - -
53 NEUBERGER Jakob Felix 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
54 AWAD Omar 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
55 LEIGH Brayden 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
56 RUBENSON Leo 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
57 GAO Francis 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
58 VINCENT Yijia 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
59 FREILICH Harrison 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
60 RABEL Alexander 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
61 RABEL Sebastian 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
61 LEE SungYup 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.