Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
5 MA Sophia 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
6 LI Savannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 38%
7 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
8 SON Ayoung 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
9 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
10 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61% 16%
11 IWERSEN Marte 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56% 13%
12 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
13 WEN Lillian 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
14 SICHEL-OUTCALT Margaret 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
15 YOUM Amelia 100% 98% 75% 31% 4%
16 SHANG Arianna 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
17 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 28%
18 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 98% 74% 28% 2%
19 BAULIN Zoya 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
20 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 3%
21 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 11%
22 CHOI Cara 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
23 SHUI Zola 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
24 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 99% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
25 SMITH Melinda 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
26 WU Charlotte 100% 97% 74% 33% 6%
27 JU Victoria 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
28 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
29 DOUGLAS Addison 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
30 HOLLIS Priscillia 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
31 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
32 JIN Emily 100% 95% 55% 16% 2% - -
33 GOMEZ Amelia 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% < 1% -
34 KIM Chloe Minjoo 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% - -
35 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
36 COUAILLIER Lou 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
37 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
38 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
39 RUSTOGI Jyoti 100% 100% 91% 58% 18% 2% -
40 PAEK Mila 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
41 HUDSON Sophie 100% 99% 87% 50% 10% 1% -
42 VO Evelyn 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
42 KANDALAFT Emma 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
44 PARK Addison 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
45 REILLY Carys 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 12% 2%
46 PAEK Ellie 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
47 WOLF Fiona 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
48 CHEN Rachel 100% 55% 14% 1% - - -
49 LIANG Jasmine 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
50 BROWN Katelyn 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
51 XU Elaina 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
52 VUONG Nguyen 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% -
53 JOHNSON Elizabeth 100% 89% 46% 10% 1% - -
54 ZHU Alicia 100% 34% 5% - -
55 CHEN Sophie 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
56 BRADSHAW Tamira 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
57 MIN Claire 100% 26% 2% - - - -
58 WARDMAN Abigail 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
59 ZUCKER Eleanor 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
60 AKSAKAL Ela 100% 95% 67% 23% 2% - -
61 WEINER Charlotte 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.