Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Hayden - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
2 YAO Ryan - - 1% 7% 31% 53% 8%
3 CHEN Aiden - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
3 MASKIN Mikhail - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
5 NOOL Aaron - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
6 PEGUS Izzy - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
7 FANG Charlie - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
8 YAO Aiden - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
9 CHEN INCHON - - - - 2% 21% 77%
10 DAI Jason 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
11 BRATU Max - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
12 CHIANG William - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
13 LAI Jayden - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
14 KOVAC Blake - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
15 SHAO Mason 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
16 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
17 CHEN Daniel - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
18 MA Joseph - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 6%
19 KO Ethan - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
20 LEE Taeryum - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
21 BUTLER Xavier - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
22 SCHLUBACH Jasper 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
23 YIN Xiangheng 1% 8% 25% 36% 25% 6%
24 NG Remy - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
25 ZHEN Maxwell 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
26 GORE Noah 4% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
27 JIN Noah - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
28 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
29 SHKOP Alexander 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
30 PINCIROLI Tommaso 2% 13% 34% 35% 13% 2%
31 ZHAO Eric 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
32 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
33 SALIBA Jackson 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
34 KIM Brendan 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
35 ZHANG Jacob 8% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1%
36 LAI Jaxon 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 5% -
37 LIU FREDERICK - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
38 HWANG Chase 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
39 GUJJA Rishabh 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
40 LU Shawn 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
41 GOH Cayden 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
42 HWANG Christopher 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
43 YADAV Aarav 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
44 HONG Evan 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4%
45 CHEN Regis 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
46 YAO Irvine 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
47 WAGNER Miles 29% 43% 22% 5% - - -
48 YOU Emmanuel 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
49 YAN Milan 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2% -
50 PENG Leo 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
51 DUDDA Kavin 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
52 IVANOV Andrew 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
53 MAK Nolan 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
54 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 4% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
55 PRIETO Cole 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
56 WILSON Henry 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
57 CRUZ Juno 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
58 LAW Benjamin 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
59 SALA John 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
60 HENRIQUEZ Juan Mateo 46% 39% 13% 2% - -
61 KO Caden 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
62 TANG David 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
63 CHARNA Luca 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
64 JORDAN JR. Louis 64% 30% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.