Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
2 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 8%
3 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
3 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
5 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
6 PEGUS Izzy 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
7 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
8 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
9 CHEN INCHON 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
10 DAI Jason 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
11 BRATU Max 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
12 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
13 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
14 KOVAC Blake 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 31% 6%
15 SHAO Mason 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
16 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
17 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
18 MA Joseph 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 6%
19 KO Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
20 LEE Taeryum 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
21 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
22 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
23 YIN Xiangheng 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
24 NG Remy 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
25 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
26 GORE Noah 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
27 JIN Noah 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
28 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
29 SHKOP Alexander 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
30 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
31 ZHAO Eric 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
32 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
33 SALIBA Jackson 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
34 KIM Brendan 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
35 ZHANG Jacob 100% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
36 LAI Jaxon 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
37 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
38 HWANG Chase 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
39 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
40 LU Shawn 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
41 GOH Cayden 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
42 HWANG Christopher 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
43 YADAV Aarav 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
44 HONG Evan 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
45 CHEN Regis 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
46 YAO Irvine 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
47 WAGNER Miles 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
48 YOU Emmanuel 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
49 YAN Milan 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2% -
50 PENG Leo 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
51 DUDDA Kavin 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
52 IVANOV Andrew 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
53 MAK Nolan 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
54 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 96% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
55 PRIETO Cole 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
56 WILSON Henry 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
57 CRUZ Juno 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
58 LAW Benjamin 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
59 SALA John 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
60 HENRIQUEZ Juan Mateo 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
61 KO Caden 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
62 TANG David 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
63 CHARNA Luca 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
64 JORDAN JR. Louis 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.