Auburn Spring Open II

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 9:30 AM

Auburn University Recreation and Wellness Center - Auburn, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHARF Ryan - - 4% 20% 44% 33%
2 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 16%
3 ELLIOTT Wyatt - - 1% 19% 48% 32%
3 KNOX Aidan - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
5 FREY Wayne - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
6 CARRIE Konnor - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
7 SORANNO James 1% 7% 23% 35% 27% 8%
8 SUNDQUIST Matthew - - - 6% 34% 59%
9 ALLEY Everett T - - 3% 25% 72%
10 OLSON Clayton - - 5% 35% 51% 9%
11 JOHNSTON Jacob - 8% 38% 47% 8%
12 MEILAN William - 2% 17% 51% 29% 3%
13 DONGES Anna 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
14 MARTINEZ Cameron 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
15 BURRUSS Aaron 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
16 NGUYEN Wesley - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
17 MCFARLAND John 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
18 KERTESZ Stefan - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
19 PHILLIPS Carson 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
20 CALINSKY Edward 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
21 MENDEZ SILVA Matias 3% 52% 37% 7% -
22 MCNAIR William 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
23 JACKSON Nathan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
24 OLSON Lucas 2% 20% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
25 HOUSMANS Emma 29% 54% 16% 1% - -
26 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 1% 18% 41% 31% 9% 1%
27 CALINSKY Zachary 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
28 WYNN Paul - 10% 34% 38% 16% 2%
29 WENTWORTH Ashley 1% 17% 54% 24% 4% -
30 HARRIS Brendan - 17% 39% 32% 11% 1%
31 HANNER Robert 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
32 GEISSLER Maximilian 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% -
33 EDWARDS John 1% 18% 50% 29% 3%
34 WERTH Mario 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% -
35 GUY Austin 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
36 BANHOLZER Connor - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
37 CONCANNON Evelyn 95% 5% - - - -
39 SUMMEY Travis 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
40 HERNDON Rylee 68% 28% 4% - - - -
41 WASH James 44% 44% 11% 1% - -
42 CARON Lucas 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1%
43 SHANNON Sarabeth 88% 11% - - -
44 CHEN Ketai < 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.