Auburn Spring Open II

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 9:30 AM

Auburn University Recreation and Wellness Center - Auburn, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHARF Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
2 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
3 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 99% 80% 32%
3 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
5 FREY Wayne 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 9%
6 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
7 SORANNO James 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
8 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
9 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
10 OLSON Clayton 100% 100% 100% 95% 60% 9%
11 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 100% 92% 54% 8%
12 MEILAN William 100% 100% 98% 82% 31% 3%
13 DONGES Anna 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
14 MARTINEZ Cameron 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
15 BURRUSS Aaron 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
16 NGUYEN Wesley 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
17 MCFARLAND John 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
18 KERTESZ Stefan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
19 PHILLIPS Carson 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
20 CALINSKY Edward 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
21 MENDEZ SILVA Matias 100% 97% 45% 7% -
22 MCNAIR William 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
23 JACKSON Nathan 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
24 OLSON Lucas 100% 98% 78% 41% 13% 2% -
25 HOUSMANS Emma 100% 71% 17% 1% - -
26 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1%
27 CALINSKY Zachary 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
28 WYNN Paul 100% 100% 90% 57% 18% 2%
29 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 99% 82% 28% 4% -
30 HARRIS Brendan 100% 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
31 HANNER Robert 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
32 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% -
33 EDWARDS John 100% 99% 82% 32% 3%
34 WERTH Mario 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
35 GUY Austin 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
36 BANHOLZER Connor 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
37 CONCANNON Evelyn 100% 5% - - - -
39 SUMMEY Travis 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
40 HERNDON Rylee 100% 32% 5% - - - -
41 WASH James 100% 56% 12% 1% - -
42 CARON Lucas 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
43 SHANNON Sarabeth 100% 12% - - -
44 CHEN Ketai 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.