Portland ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
2 FERRIS Madeline 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
3 WANG Tina 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
3 LI Miranda 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
5 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
6 YANG Caroline 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
7 TANG Wing Ka Ariana 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
8 KAZA Ananya 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
9 FEENER Paige 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
10 KAZA Aditi 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
11 ERPELDING Emily 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% - -
12 IREGUI Sofia 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
13 KNULL Emma 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
14 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
15 JI Xinya 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
16 WILLEMSE Jamie 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 8%
17 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
18 LI Meredith 100% 78% 33% 6% - - -
19 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
20 CHIU Philippa 100% 85% 47% 13% 1% - -
21 RAMAN Indira 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
22 AMBALONG Jody P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
23 WONG Lucia 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
24 DEWSNUP Kelly 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
24 ALSHAARAWI Sofia 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
26 SOUTHERLAND Nina 100% 100% 95% 64% 19% 2% -
27 MASLEN Cheryl L. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.